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Thoughts on building AI-powered products, marketplace dynamics, and product leadership.

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Your Next User Isn't Human: How AI Agents Are Reshaping Products
AI agents are becoming the interface between users and products. When someone's agent chooses for them, what happens to your site—and your ads?
4 min read
ai-productsproduct-strategyproduct-discovery+1
Why Digital Natives Make Worse Digital Decisions
Research shows Gen Z makes worse digital decisions than their parents. The cognitive biases behind the paradox and what it means for product design.
6 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipconsumer-products
Notes on Marketplace Dynamics and Growth Loops
Why do some marketplaces need $100M while others grow organically? Loop length determines success. Short wins every time.
7 min read
marketplace-dynamicsproduct-strategytwo-sided-markets+1
Two Cognitive Biases That Make Smart People Foolish
Narrative fallacy and hindsight bias feed each other, creating false confidence that compounds. Here's how to break the cycle.
9 min read
product-leadershipproduct-strategyframework
The Mirror That Writes Back: AI's Knowledge Commons Dilemma
AI models mirror our collective knowledge. But consuming without contributing depletes the commons. The fix is cultural: contribute what you learn.
7 min read
ai-productsproduct-leadershipproduct-strategy+1
Building on OpenAI's Platform: Game Theory Insights
Using game theory to analyze OpenAI's Apps SDK. Why platform cooperation isn't prisoner's dilemma—it's asymmetric power.
7 min read
ai-productsproduct-strategyproduct-leadership+2
The Bitter Lesson Gets More Bitter: Betting Against Scale
AI scaling skeptics have been wrong three times. The pattern: scale massively to discover what's possible, then optimize for deployment.
9 min read
ai-productsproduct-strategymachine-learning
ClipDrop: Turn Your Mac Clipboard Into Files Instantly
Stop the copy-paste-save dance. One command turns your clipboard into any file. Auto-detects formats, transcribes audio, scans for secrets.
10 min read
ai-productsmachine-learningconsumer-products
Context, Data, and Intuition: The PM's Edge
Stop flying blind with metrics alone. Learn why context must come first, then data, then intuition—before competitors do.
5 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipproduct-discovery
You Were Never Valuable Because You're Good at Stuff
We've confused productivity with purpose. AI forces the question: why does your life matter? The answer isn't about being useful.
7 min read
ai-productsproduct-leadershipmachine-learning
AI Personalization: Solving Decision Fatigue at Scale
AI recommendation systems solve choice overload, but only with transparency, reversibility, and user control to prevent filter bubbles.
5 min read
ai-productsproduct-strategymachine-learning+2
The Six-Month Rule: Hire People Who Don't Need You
In six months, if I'm still telling you what to do, I hired wrong. The uncomfortable hiring philosophy that builds unstoppable teams.
9 min read
product-leadershipproduct-strategyframework
How AI Makes Generalists Beat Specialist Teams
Solo developers now ship products faster than Fortune 500 teams can schedule meetings. AI inverts 50 years of specialization.
2 min read
ai-productsproduct-leadershipmachine-learning
First Principle Decisioning: Binstack Over Scoring
Scoring frameworks often obscure judgment calls. Binstack offers clarity: binary materiality and stack-ranked priorities.
7 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipproduct-market-fit+1
The Certainty Gradient Paradox: Why Long-Term Plans Get More Precise
Why strategic plans become more precise as time horizons extend. The paradox of false certainty in long-term forecasting.
12 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipb2b-saas+1
Friction Is a Feature: What Product Managers Forgot
A thought experiment on intentional friction: BeReal's 2-minute window isn't broken UX—it's the feature that creates authenticity.
4 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipconsumer-products+1
A/B Testing Essentials for Product Managers
Master A/B testing fundamentals: sample sizes, statistical significance, and the five rules that prevent bad tests. Practical, not theoretical.
14 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipproduct-discovery+1
Tempo, Not Turbo: Why Faster Isn’t Always Better in Product Development
Speed without strategy destroys velocity. Learn to find your team's sustainable tempo and avoid hitting the red line that breaks quality.
5 min read
product-strategyproduct-leadershipconsumer-products

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